Sunday, October 20, 2019

Keine Scheiß, Sherlock.

From Merkel says German multiculturalism has failed by Sabine Siebold. She's been saying this for some time.

Immigration is one of those issues where the divide between ordinary citizens and the political establishment tends to be the largest. The establishment uniformly gains from open-borders to cheap labor. At a macro-level, particularly when you are looking at scarce skills, controlled immigration can be very beneficial to the nation.

But when it entails poverty, absence of skills, absence of cultural alignment, etc., it can be a disaster and the disaster is always visited upon the bottom 60% of the nation. The establishment types rarely have to deal with the costs, the crime, the social-fraying, the lost of quality-of-life, the displacement of native workers for cheap foreign labor.

Call it populism, or nationalism, or what you will, I call it a democracy deficit. When the establishment (deep state bureaucrats, government workers, media, academia, politicians, etc.) believe not only that they know better than the citizens whom they putatively serve, but know better and are entitled to circumvent the will of the public for the larger good.

We saw this pretty explicitly under Tony Blair's prime ministership in the UK when a policy of near open-migration was supported in order to increase the number of Labour Party voters as well as pursue the larger, but ill-considered, ideology of multiculturalism.

Sweden and Germany did this in the mid teens as Syria, Iraq, Pakistan, etc. all sent uprooted refugees to Europe. The EU pursued this as despite the opposition of Hungary, Austria, Italy, Spain, etc.

The crime rate in Sweden has shot through the roof as in other countries. And again, it is not the establishment class who bear the brunt of the costs of these bad decisions. It is the bottom 60% whose voices are ignored.

Merkel has been saying for a couple of years or more that her decision to let in some million and a half young men from the middle east. Young men without education, without skills, with a hostile religious belief system, with a conviction that they did not need to assimilate.

It is well a good that she wanted to be generous in the first place. Despite the negative consequences, we can still acknowledge the tragedies of the Middle East and of many of the individual refugees. But in democracies with consent of the governed, that is not the relevant question. The question is whether the political establishment are answering the will of the people. In some countries such as Denmark, they clearly are. Denmark takes refugees but not a lot and always with carful plans which accelerate assimilation and which mitigate the burden and consequence on ordinary Danes.

But citizens in Britain, France, Sweden, Germany, etc. often had little or no explicit consent to the policies of the establishment.

Hence all the populism we see today. Populism can be dangerous but it is primarily a red flag that the establishment are paying insufficient attention to the needs of the majority and/or are spending insufficient time and effort to gain consent for the radical policies being pursued.

Not only that, they are pursuing policies appealing to the small establishment while actively denigrating their larger populations. In Britain, Germany, Sweden, etc., anyone opposing the arbitrary and unconsidered open borders are dismiss as at best ignorant or xenophobic and at worst as racist and Islamophobes.

The fact that the establishment apparatus is beginning to recognize that their citizens actually had a finer and more nuanced understanding of what was happening is progress of a sort. But it does not take away the sting of their earlier attacks nor does it address the trust that was lost.

Unleashed populism can be dangerous but our establishment politicians, academics, mainstream media, and deep staters still do not seem to be willing to give up power or acknowledge the necessity of respecting the wishes of the citizens. Until they commit to some sort of rectification, show some genuine respect, and hold themselves tangibly accountable, I am afraid populism will continue to spiral.

And it is not just immigration. Extreme climate alarmism, irresponsible higher education shenanigans, feaux diversity, institutionalized national racism, ever rising taxes and deficits, rising or persistently unaddressed crime, etc. - all of these fuel righteous indignation of the governed against the coercers.

See the yellow vests in France and the farmers in the Netherlands. Regular people who power the economy are getting tired of the deliberate efforts by their insufferable establishment to keep them down.

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