A 'mental model', of an expected universe

Laurence Gonzales in Deep Survival. Page 79 on the tendency to impose expected outcomes on to, and overriding actual data.

"In the face of uncertainty," Charles Perrow writes, "we must, of course, make a judgement, even if only a tentative and temporary one. Making a judgment means we create a 'mental model', of an expected universe. . . . You are actually creating a world that is congruent with your interpretation, even though it may be the wrong world."