Saturday, December 30, 2023

Do Ring doorbell videos reduce crime rates and increase conviction ratess?

Not an especially informative article but topical.  From Do Video Doorbells Really Prevent Crime? by Rod McCullom.  The subheading is More people are using doorbell cameras and sharing the footage with the police, but there are few data showing their effectiveness

It is a hard subject to research and most the research I have seen tends to be motivated research.  The researcher explicitly wants to find a reduction in crime or explicitly wants to find that it makes no difference.

This article falls in the latter category and concludes that there is no current evidence to support that Ring doorbell videos reduce crime rates.  

I am agnostic.  I suspect that they might only marginally reduce crime rates (criminals have to be aware that they are being videoed and/or that they are more likely to be caught on video in particular neighborhoods.  If they do not pay attention to the existence of Ring videos, then perhaps they don't make a difference.

Beyond that, even if criminals do pay attention to Ring videos, there is the issue of whether police departments are willing and/or able to incorporate Ring videos into their investigations or policing practices.  Finally, there is the issue of whether the judicial system will incorporate video evidence in a fashion which increases the number if convictions.  

Here in Atlanta, lots of Ring video shows up on Next Door in discussions.  My impression is that a materially high percentage of crime never gets reported.  It happens and is witnessed (or videoed) or not, but is never reported to the police.  I suspect porch pirates fall into this category.  People complain about it a lot but it seems to attract little police department action.  

While the Atlanta Police Department has all sorts of initiatives going on with regard to video, there doesn't seem to be much in terms of increased crime clearances.  

Do doorbell videos decrease crime rates and or increase conviction rates?  Logically it would seem to make sense that they ought to.  We don't know yet whether they do.  

In an area such as this whether there is both complexity and a strong taint of motivated research, perhaps the best evidence that Ring doorbell videos make a difference is the widespread public belief that they do.  The public often is more grounded around complex issues than are academics.

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