In his fabulous book, @PTetlock mentioned the traits of people who are super good at forecasting. One trait that pops up: The ability & willingness to change your mind when the facts change.
— TheAstuteReader (@TheAstuteReader) October 3, 2021
And a trait common in people who make awful forecasts? Extreme devotion to their stand. pic.twitter.com/qoW7806GcW
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