Saturday, December 5, 2020

Dolts - the validity of the actual existence of a claimed phenomenon is more important than speculations about the possible causes of the claimed phenomenon.

From Causal Effects of Well-Being on Health: It's Complicated by  Julia M. Rohrer & Richard E. Lucas.  From the Abstract:

In positive psychology and well-being research, subjective well-being is frequently considered a cause of desirable outcomes, such as health. We discuss major conceptual complications that cast doubt on such claims. Well-being and health share a multitude of common causes, and neither cross-sectional, longitudinal, nor experimental studies can identify the effects of interest without strong assumptions that may be deemed implausible. We conclude that the field should rise to the causal inference challenge posed by understanding the main effects of well-being before moving on to more sophisticated claims concerning underlying mechanisms and boundary conditions.

This would seem to be polite academic speak for 

Hey, positive psychologists.  Your data reeks.  The link between psychology and well-being is more complicated than you thought and your study outcomes so far have been predetermined by the assumptions you made.  And a lot of those assumptions are suspect.  Positive psychologists - You need to get your act together and prove there even is a causal mechanism between psychology and positive well-being before spending much time on what those causal mechanisms might be. Dolts!

Though the last sentence probably is spoken sotto voce

I bet a lot more papers would get read and cited by the general public if they were cast more in the vernacular.  Possibly even with some Anglo-Saxon vernacular.   

This is common issue in public and education policy.  The enthusiasm for the claimed phenomena far outstrips the proof that the phenomenon actually exists.  BLM claims.  AGW claims.  Inequality claims.  Defunding Police claims.  Economic Development claims.  etc.  The claims are far louder than the evidence.  

No comments:

Post a Comment