Friday, August 7, 2020

Finally accepting the obvious

Fascinating to see what seems like an acceleration of the gaslight decline cycle.

It took about three years before the Trump-Russia Collusion gaslighting debacle finally became demonstrably untrue.  

It took about six months for the Trump Impeachment case to collapse.

It has taken perhaps four months for the peaceful Seattle protests lie to finally be acknowledged as a lie.

In each of these cases, there of course remain unredeemed true believers.  But the measure is what do most people believe and is the mainstream media willing to acknowledge.

Because all these beliefs (Trump-Russia Collusion, Impeachment charges, Peaceful Seattle protests) are held by one side in marked contrast to the other and the mainstream media are pretty uniformly solidly partisan Democratic, it is easy to see this as only a partisan issue.  

But it ultimately is really an epistemic one.  There is a truth out there.  How do we know what it is?  Predicate beliefs can frequently retard evolution of understanding of the evidence.

For the three stated beliefs, all along most Republicans believed they had good reason to dismiss the argument.  Moderates and Independents, were not quite so ready to dismiss the argument but were always pretty skeptical about the argument and that skepticism got stronger as evidence emerged.  

Eventually the evidence becomes so compelling that even the most keen enthusiasts can no longer believe.  But True Believers are different.  They hold fast in their faith.  Eventually, the mainstream media comes around to reality, but for many, it is a hard, slow struggle.  

But as, noted, there is some thin evidence that perhaps the reality calibration cycle time is speeding up.  

As so many cities went up in smoke, there in front of the violence and leaping flames, stood the CCN or NYT or other denizen of the fallen fourth estate, happily chirping into the camera that the riot was peaceful and non-violent.

Everyone could see otherwise.  If the state cannot defend its citizens, will not enforce the rule of law, will not educate children, really what else is left?  The innocent assumptions about happy anarchy and overt racism are coming home to roost.  Even the NYT is acknowledging what everyone has seen.  We need the state to defend citizens, enforce rule of law, and educate our children.  

It is really not that hard.


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