Tuesday, February 23, 2021

We still don't really understand yet what is going on with Covid-19

For several months early in the pandemic, I commented in posts "We really don't understand what is going on yet."

It remains true today though that is somewhat masked by the unexpected success of Operation Warp Speed to create a mass produced vaccine within a year.  Comparable in some ways to the Manhattan Project, it has been a stunning exemplar of what can happen with concentrated focus.

But it should not blind us to the fact that we still don't really understand yet what is going on with Covid-19.   I don't make the observation to encourage hysteria.  Indeed, when we don't understand, we should be more skeptical than ever about fanciful doctrinaire assertions.

All brought to mind by this piece in the New Yorker, updating us on the mysteries of what is happening in the developing world, dramatically against earlier forecasts and expert opinions.  

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