Sunday, August 31, 2025

History

 

An Insight

 

I see wonderful things

 

Offbeat Humor

 

Data Talks

 

Night, 1960 by Rene Magritte

Night, 1960 by Rene Magritte (Belgium, 1898-1967)




















Click to enlarge.

Saturday, August 30, 2025

History

 

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I see wonderful things

 

I see wonderful things

 

Offbeat Humor

 

Data Talks

 

August in the City, 1945 by Edward Hopper

August in the City, 1945 by Edward Hopper (America, 1882-1967) 



















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Friday, August 29, 2025

History

 

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Italian Villa in Moonlight, 1868 by Georg Emil Libert

Italian Villa in Moonlight, 1868 by Georg Emil Libert (Denmark, 1820-1908)
































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Thursday, August 28, 2025

They think coercive central planning and wishes for better quality political leadership is sufficient for a better future.

From The $140 Billion Failure We Don’t Talk About by Mark F. Bonner and Mathew D. Sanders.

Following Hurricane Katrina and the devastation of New Orleans twenty years ago, the federal government undertook a $140 billion investment in the infrastructure and economic restoration of the region.  To no good end.  NGOs and insiders made out like bandits but the region was not restored.

Today, New Orleans is smaller, poorer and more unequal than before the storm. It hasn’t rebuilt a durable middle class, and lacks basic services and a major economic engine outside of its storied tourism industry.

The core problem was the inability to turn abundant resources into a clear vision backed by political will. Federal dollars were funneled into a maze of state agencies and local governments with clashing priorities, vague metrics and near-zero accountability. Billions went to contractors and government consultants while public institutions such as schools, transit, health care and housing barely scraped by. For example, one firm, ICF International, received nearly $1 billion to administer Road Home, the oft-criticized state program to rebuild houses.

[snip]

Today New Orleans ranks near the bottom among major U.S. cites for G.D.P. per capita and is one of the nation’s weakest employment markets. Its population is roughly 23 percent smaller than it was in 2000, with about 37 percent fewer Black residents. Economic output per person lags the national average, and while the city has seen modest recent job gains, job growth remains uneven and slow overall.

[snip]

Meanwhile, basic city functions remain unreliable — streets flood in routine storms and drainage systems fail. Housing costs keep climbing — a paradox in a city with stagnant population growth.

Bonner and Sanders are in a curious position.  They good a decent job of demonstrating after a major disaster (Katrina), the federal government removed capital investment as a constraint hindering restoration of the city and the region.  

They then makes the case that the largesse of the federal government was then squandered by the state and local political leaders.  They argue that government leaders should have had better vision and more leadership and made more of the $140 billion.  I doubt anyone would argue against that.

Their solution is that the next time there is a comparable disaster, the federal government should again invest in restoration but that state and local leaders should focus more on building a better urban future that is more equal.

Basically they want a central planners dream.  We wasted $140 billion last time but with better central planning we will make better use of it next time.

Their argument is as strong as the levies were against Katrina and they make no effort to demonstrate how the planning might work better given that it was so disastrously bad last time.  

Bonner and Sanders come across as one more NGO with hat in hand.

America needs to stop treating recovery as a one-time event. Cities are not machines to be fixed and forgotten. They are living systems that need sustained investment and constant evolution. That requires vision and talent, not just funding.

They appear to be asking the federal government for an open-ended investment into urban centers.  

But if bad urban leadership didn't work last time, with unlimited funds, why on earth is there any reason to believe it would work this time?  They never address that obvious issue.

A bad argument poorly argued but an argument made to a rabid readership grateful to hear that coercive central planning and wishing for better political leadership is a recipe for a better future.  


UPDATE:  The comments at Marginal Revolution are, as usual, dramatically more informative and entertaining than those of the comments at the New York Times.

History

 

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Rabbis, cannolis and ports, 2008 by Angel Mateo Charris

Rabbis, cannolis and port, 2008 by Angel Mateo Charris, (Spain, 1962 - )

























Click to enlarge.

Wednesday, August 27, 2025

History

 

An Insight

 

I see wonderful things

 

Offbeat Humor

Sea and Pink Sky, 1984 by Herman Maril

Sea and Pink Sky, 1984 by Herman Maril (America, 1908-1986)



















Click to enlarge.

Tuesday, August 26, 2025

History

 

An Insight

 

I see wonderful things

Offbeat Humor

 

Data Talks

 

House at Dusk, 1921 by Leon Spilliaert

House at Dusk, 1921 by Leon Spilliaert (Belgiaum, 1881-1946)

































Click to enlarge.

Monday, August 25, 2025

History

Five rules to help you spot bad arguments

From Why Many Were Not Fooled by the Russian Collusion Hoax by Jay Logan.  The subheading is The Russian Collusion hoax was false. Those who were not fooled by it followed a few simple rules to help them see past the propaganda. Here are five rules to help you spot the scams.

Some Rules for Revealing Lies

Education can be a daunting task, leaving most wondering where to start. One place would be to familiarize yourself with the five rules on scams and hoaxes, which I wrote about in an article about how to spot fraudulent or politicized science. These rules, listed below, are applicable to more than just science, but also to human nature in general, especially to large populations.

Rule 1: Follow the money!

Rule 2: The truth does not mind being questioned, while lies cannot stand being challenged.

Rule 3: The truth remains stable, while lies can shift precipitously.

Rule 4: The government is always going to get it wrong, partially if not wholly.

Rule 5: There are no coincidences in large-scale, man-involved events.

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The Veranda at My House by Nicholas Verrall

The Veranda at My House by Nicholas Verrall (Britain, 1945 - )






























Click to enlarge.

Sunday, August 24, 2025

History

 

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Summer Afternoon by Susan Ryder

Summer Afternoon by Susan Ryder (Britain, 1944 - )






























Click to enlarge.

Saturday, August 23, 2025

History

 

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I see wonderful things

 

Offbeat Humor

 

Data Talks

 

Swim Party #2" by R. Kenton Nelson

Swim Party #2" by R. Kenton Nelson (America, 1954 - )































Click to enlarge.

Judgments of taste are acts of social positioning

From Pierre Bourdieu in Wikipedia.  

Bourdieu was a prolific author, producing hundreds of articles and three dozen books, nearly all of which are now available in English. His best-known book is Distinction: A Social Critique of the Judgment of Taste (1979), in which he argues that judgments of taste are acts of social positioning. The argument is put forward by an original combination of social theory and data from quantitative surveys, photographs and interviews, in an attempt to reconcile difficulties such as how to understand the subject within objective structures. 

Judgments of taste are acts of social positioning - interesting to compare and contrast with Rob K. Henderson's Luxury Beliefs work.  

A further thought.  It has been widely observed that the increasing prosperity of the modern era (free markets and competitive capitalism) has made it increasingly difficult to compete for status on material goods possession.  

Henderson's Luxury Belief work argues that established elites defend their social position by cultivating luxury beliefs which

confer status on the upper class at very little cost, while often inflicting costs on the lower classes.

When you can no longer have social station through ownership of material goods, luxury beliefs is a nice ju jitsu, raising yourself and lowering others.  

Then there is always the ancient Roman observation

De gustibus non est disputandum.

"In matters of taste, there can be no disputes."  

Perhaps modern fretfulness is sourced in this conundrum.  Modern capitalism has been very good at raising all boats in absolute terms of prosperity.  It is harder than in the past to establish social position via goods.  

Judgments of taste are an alternative mechanism for social positioning.  Luxury Beliefs are just one form of this, but more broadly there is the effort to establish socially endorsed beliefs over socially denigrated beliefs as a cheap alternative to possession of goods in establishing social status.

But then there is the Roman truism - in matters of taste there can be no disputes.  Believe what you want, beliefs are chosen.  But beliefs have consequences and as note by Kipling

The Gods of the Copybook Headings with terror and slaughter return!

You cannot believe yourself into social status because ultimately it is a matter of societal consensus combined with Reality.  There are many beliefs simply incompatible with reality.  

Friday, August 22, 2025

History

 

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Sunshine in the Drawing Room by Vilhelm Hammershøi

Sunshine in the Drawing Room by Vilhelm Hammershøi (Denmark, 1864–1916)























Click to enlarge.

We are always and in every way self-justifying

From Equisse d'une Théorie de la Pratique (1977) by Pierre Bourdieu.

Every established order tends to produce (to very different degrees with different means) the naturalization of its own arbitrariness.

Thursday, August 21, 2025

History

 

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Reason Is and Ought Only to Be the Slave of the Passions

From Hume on the Emotions in Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy

7. “Reason Is and Ought Only to Be the Slave of the Passions”

One of the most notorious of Hume’s views about the passions concerns their relation to our practical reason. Hume locates our motivations in the passions. As noted in section 4, he treats the will in his discussion of the direct passions, identifying it as “the internal impression we feel and are conscious of, when we knowingly give rise to any new motion of our body, or new perception of our mind” (T II.3.1 399). If the will did not determine a person’s actions, we would have no way to trace those actions to their springs in character, which is the prerequisite for forming moral judgments.

Hume is particularly concerned with analyzing our practical reasoning, our reasoning about how to act. Passions are the engine for all our deeds: without passions we would lack all motivation, all impulse or drive to act, or even to reason (practically or theoretically). This gives at least one sense in which “reason is, and ought only to be the slave of the passions” (T II.3.3 415). Hume also holds that the passions are not themselves directly subject to rational evaluation. In fact, it seems something of a category mistake to think that they could be either rational or irrational. Passions are impressions – strong and lively perceptions with a certain “feel” and a direction, or impulse. Reasoning, however, is a matter of connecting various ideas in order to come to a belief; it may apply to, or even form, the circumstances under which passions arise. But reason can generate no impulse by itself.

On these grounds, many have attributed to Hume a belief-desire model of practical reasoning, in which our ends are given by passions (desires). On this view, reason is in the business of producing beliefs, but our beliefs are relevant only to the means by which we seek to obtain those ends: they do not determine the ends themselves. So, reason has only an instrumental use. But whatever its other virtues, this model does little to explain why reason “ought to be” the slave of the passions. It also seems inappropriate to reduce passions to desires: passions have a great deal more structure than their attractive or aversive directions, important though those may be. What seems central to Hume’s view is the inertness of reason, its inability to generate impulses for the mind (see Millgram 1995; for a different view that stresses the inertness of reason and representational states in general, see Radcliffe 2018). It is the inertness of reason that drives Hume to adopt a sentimentalist basis for the origins of our “moral distinctions” (T III.1.2).

Cliffs at Beer, Devon, 1922 by Winifred Knights

Cliffs at Beer, Devon, 1922 by Winifred Knights (Britain, 1899–1947)




















Click to enlarge.

Messenger by Mary Oliver

Messenger
by Mary Oliver

My work is loving the world.
Here the sunflowers, there the hummingbird—    
    equal seekers of sweetness.
Here the quickening yeast; there the blue plums.
Here the clam deep in the speckled sand.

Are my boots old? Is my coat torn?
Am I no longer young, and still not half-perfect? Let me    
    keep my mind on what matters,
which is my work,

which is mostly standing still and learning to be    
    astonished.
The phoebe, the delphinium.
The sheep in the pasture, and the pasture.
Which is mostly rejoicing, since all the ingredients are here,

which is gratitude, to be given a mind and a heart    
    and these body-clothes,
a mouth with which to give shouts of joy    
    to the moth and the wren, to the sleepy dug-up clam,
telling them all, over and over, how it is    
    that we live forever.

Wednesday, August 20, 2025

History

 

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I see wonderful things

 

Offbeat Humor

 

Data Talks

 

Flying above Kirkuk, 1919 by Sydney Carline

Flying above Kirkuk, 1919 by Sydney Carline (England, 1888-1929)





















Click to enlarge.

Tuesday, August 19, 2025

History

 

An Insight

 

I see wonderful things

 

Offbeat Humor

 

Data Talks

 

Lake George Reflection, 1922 by Georgia O’Keeffe

Lake George Reflection, 1922 by Georgia O’Keeffe (America, 1887-1986)





















Click to enlarge.

Monday, August 18, 2025

History

 

An Insight

 

I see wonderful things

Offbeat Humor

 

Data Talks

 

Interior of the Church of Santo Stefano Rotondo in Rome, 1902 by Vilhelm Hammershøi

Interior of the Church of Santo Stefano Rotondo in Rome, 1902 by Vilhelm Hammershøi (Denmark, 1864-1916)






















Click to enlarge.

Sunday, August 17, 2025

History

 

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Offbeat humor

 

Data Talks

 

Summer dress by Edward Wadsworth

Summer dress by Edward Wadsworth (England, 1889-1949)




























Click to enlarge.

Saturday, August 16, 2025

History

 

History

 

An Insight

 

I see wonderful things

 

Offbeat Humor

 

Data Talks

 

Sunrise, 2023 by J Louis

Sunrise, 2023 by J Louis (America, 1992 - )























Click to enlarge.

Friday, August 15, 2025

For the Woke, Birnham Wood is coming to Dunsinane.

I was thinking, while driving around today, that the ship of Wokeness has come to wreck on the rocks of reality.  All the imaginings of Disparate Impact, and Intersectionality, and Identity, and Microagressions, and Stereotype Threat, etc. have come to nothing.  Dust in the wind.

Later in the day, something makes me think of MacBeth.

MACBETH Bring me no more reports; let them fly all:
Till Birnam wood remove to Dunsinane,
I cannot taint with fear. What's the boy Malcolm?
Was he not born of woman? The spirits that know
All mortal consequences have pronounced me thus:
'Fear not, Macbeth; no man that's born of woman
Shall e'er have power upon thee.' Then fly,
false thanes,
And mingle with the English epicures:
The mind I sway by and the heart I bear
Shall never sag with doubt nor shake with fear.

The Woke are Macbeth, misunderstanding reality as he misunderstands Malcolm.  Birnham Wood is coming to Dunsinane.

Soft through the pine the moon arrives to be your own pure-hearted friend.

At Wang Ch’ang-ling’s Retreat
by Chang Chien 
Translated by Witter Bynner

Here, beside a clear deep lake.
You live accompanied by clouds;
Or soft through the pine the moon arrives
To be your own pure-hearted friend.
You rest under thatch in the shadow of your flowers.
Your dewy herbs flourish in their bed of moss.
Let me leave the world. Let me alight, like you.
On your western mountain with phoenixes and cranes.

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We are at an odd epistemic place.

From "They said the film ['Barbie'] promoted homosexuality and insulted the image of women." by Anne Althouse.  

She reads in an English newspaper (The Times) of an incident that occurred in France and is trying to understand what happened.  Potential barriers to understanding include:

Legacy mainstream media unreliability.

General English interpretation issues about things France.

English and French language issues.

The incident involves French Muslims threatening violence.

As best I can guess from the various accounts, the mayor of Noisy-le-Sec, a suburb of Paris decided they would have an open air screening of the movie Barbie.  As municipal workers were setting up the projector and screen, they were surrounded by and threatened by a crowd (up to fifteen) of young Muslims who disliked the movie for various cultural reasons.  The municipal workers were afraid to proceed and the Mayor canceled the event.

A best guess and subject to dramatic refinement.  

If that is what happened, then you can see where there are so many opportunities for the truth to not come out.  Most the news accounts essentially report that something happened in Noisy-le-Sec which stopped the screening of a movie; a formulation which is not particularly useful or informative reporting.

Interestingly, Althouse turns to Grok to cut through all the uninformative legacy media reports and gets:

The screening was abruptly cancelled just before it was set to begin at 9 p.m., after a group of approximately 10 to 15 young residents from the neighborhood confronted and pressured city workers who were installing the equipment. According to Mayor Olivier Sarrabeyrouse (from the French Communist Party, or PCF), the group encircled the agents and issued verbal threats, stating something to the effect of: "If you install [the equipment], we will dismantle everything and put an end to your session." This implied potential physical disruption or damage to the setup, and the mayor described it as threats of violence against public service agents, noting that similar incidents had occurred in the same neighborhood in the past... 

Much more informative than the original report in the London Times.  

I am struck by two trends of disintermediation, unrelated to one another but in parallel.  

Google in recent months has modified its search service.  When you ask a question, it will now usually use an AI generated summary of the results of the search and then list the source URLs (as it used to do.)

In this case, if you ask "What happened at Noisy-le-Sec, France" you get the Google AI generated:

In Noisy-le-Sec, France, a planned outdoor screening of the Barbie movie was canceled due to threats from a group of young men who argued the film "promotes homosexuality" and "undermines the image of women". The incident, part of a free summer program, led to the mayor halting the event to ensure public safety. The cancellation sparked a national debate about cultural freedom and censorship. 

Which seems true enough but steps delicately around the fact that you have a foreign cultural minority attempting to dictate through violence, the actions of the host French nation.  That seems the core issue.  Not dissimilar to the Pakistani Rape Gangs in England.

On Google Search, following the AI summary, you get the relatively uninformative URL sources as you would normally have done in the past.  Sources which Althouse had already turned to and found further bland and circumspect reporting.  

Traffic volume to legacy media site has plunged with the new AI enabled search results.  In recent years, legacy media sites have come to depend on referral traffic from search results from Google,  With the AI summary now, people read the summary and then no longer click through to the source URLs as they used to do when searching for an answer.

Google Search AI is disintermediating legacy media in fact finding.

Similarly it seems

Grok AI is disintermediating legacy media in truth seeking.  

A handful of Muslim toughs close down a public arts event in France through threats and intimidation.  And we need AI to find out that is what happened.  We are at an odd epistemic place.

Rolling Hills, c.1950 by Sandor Bernath

Rolling Hills, c.1950 by Sandor Bernath (Hungary/America, 1892-1984)






















Click to enlarge.

Thursday, August 14, 2025

Commonsense sandwich control

It starts with an egregious display of lethargic lawlessness.  
With video.
From there, Jarvis and Iowahawk start an avalanche of X humor.  Largely, but not singularly, satirizing the danger of weapons such as sandwiches. 
 

Read down the thread for some good fun.






















Vox populi can be fun sometimes.

Hold it as a hypothesis, however half-baked it is, but hold it lightly.

From How To Write Something Much Better Than a Hot Take by Susannah Roberts.  I am excerpting much of her piece so I don't lose the ideas, but the original is worth visiting for the recommended exercises as well.  

Say you've gotten an idea for a thinkpiece. You've seen something on Twitter or read something in WaPo. It's made you Mad and given you a Big Idea about What's Wrong With the World. Probably it's the fault of Disembodiment or Disenchantment. It's certainly traceable to the Lack of Thick Community and is probably traceable to Nominalism. 

Sample: Young people aren't going on dates any more.  William of Ockham's intellectual errors explain why.

Here’s what you should do. Write down your hot take, briefly, and then put it aside. Demote it from Pitch or Take to Topic. It is not yet a Pitch. And your Take may be correct, but you don’t know that yet. Hold it as a hypothesis, however half-baked it is, but hold it lightly. 

And then ask yourself these questions. Write in response to them: names, phone numbers, addresses, and notes, paragraphs, other questions. These questions will not finish your piece for you. But, when you write in response to them, they will generate the ingredients that you will need to write something that is actual magazine journalism and has the chance to be good.

1.  Where is anything related to this physically happening? Can I go there?

2.  How can I test my hypothesis? If I were wrong, how would I know?

3.  What have some people who are wiser than me and who disagree with me and with each other said about this topic?

4.  Who has expertise in this topic?

5.  Who can I talk to who has been doing something practical related to this topic for more than three years?

6.  What scenes - as in a play - would illustrate this topic?

7.  What in my life makes me care about this topic? 

8.  What is the most vivid personal anecdote that you can tell that would explain that?

9.  If I don’t have a vivid personal anecdote about this topic, who would? What is their anecdote?

10.  What secrets related to this topic can I find out?

11.  What statistics related to this topic can I track down?

12.  What institutions related to this topic exist and how can I get involved with them? (infiltration, interview, business records)

13.  Who has written about something related to this topic 50 years ago? 100? 500? 2300?

14.  What fiction or poetry has been written about this topic?

15.  What are counterexamples to the problem this stood out to me about this topic? 

16.  What else is going on that might be a confounding factor: what affects this topic?

17.  Who can I talk to who has experienced the dire consequences of this topic, or other aspects of this topic, firsthand?

18.  What community can I visit where this topic is being suffered or countered? Who are the key people in that community?

19.  What adventure or caper can I go on to explore this topic?

20.  What historical parallels to this topic are there? Who are those people and what are those stories? 

21.  What are the Golden Nugget quotes from interviews or other texts related to this topic that I almost certainly will want to include?

22.  Finally, for a Plough [Roberts' magazine] piece: How can what I have uncovered in this investigation help readers to live as though another life were possible?

Great structure and also a good precursor variant of the types of questions which go into good decision-making.  In the context of decision-making I would especially focus on 2 and 11, and broaden 11 to "measures and statistics."  

In this age of baseless opinions and press release journalism (rewriting of advocacy press releases), you can see the gulf between what is offered as journalism and what actual journalism looks like.

You can reverse engineer any major article in the NYT, the Atlantic, the Washington Post, and quickly get a sense of just how many steps were omitted.  

Which sort of makes sense.  What Roberts is recommending is a lot of work.  Any glib person can dash off an empty piece which reads well but says nothing, effects nothing, changes nothing.  Executing all twenty-two steps is a lot of work, a lot of man-hours, a lot of elapsed time to get to a quality output.  It just doesn't easily fit the economic model of most modern newspaper and magazines.  

Regrettably.