From What the media won't tell you about ... Wildfires by Roger Pielke, Jr.. The subheading is What the IPCC really says, trend data and the complexities of adaptation.
The mainstream media reporting on anything related to weather and climate change is so consistently bad and uninformed that it feels almost like crass propaganda. Pielke is good at letting the data help guide the conversation.
Eastern Canada currently has some major wildfires going and mush smoke and ash is being driven south over those black holes of reportorial ignorance, New York City and Washington, D.C. For the New York Times, The Washington Post, and NPR, weather is always climate change. In fact, almost everything is climate change.
The holy Bible of Anthropogenic Global Warming is the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). There are two parts to the IPCC, the Synthesis Report which is usually materially misleading to the point of being wrong, and the much more voluminous and detailed technical research on many issues. The research is still oriented towards making the AGW case but it is strikingly much more moderate and careful than the Synthesis.
Pielke works with the technical reports for the most complete and accurate reporting. What do they say about the frequency and magnitude of fires as a consequence of AGW?
From Pielke. I have omitted the graphs and charts which are at the link above:
Globally, emissions from wildfires has decreased globally over recent decades, as well as in many regionsThe figure above shows that wildfire emissions have declined globally since 2003, based on data from the EU. That doesn’t mean that wildfires have decreased everywhere. For instance, wildfires have increased over recent decades in the Western United States, France and Russia. It does mean that claims that wildfire has increased globally in recent decades do not have empirical support, at least by this important and widely accepted metric.Canada — the focus of extensive fire activity this week polluting the air in the eastern U.S. and elsewhere — has not seen an increase in fire activity in recent decades, as you can see in the figure below, showing official data.In Quebec specifically, there is also no indication of a long-term increase in fire activity, as you can see below. In fact, recent years have been unusually quiet.[snip]Over the much longer term, going back to 1700, research indicates that recent “burn rates” across Canada in recent decades have been much lower than in centuries past.
Despite the mainstream media gibbering this week, the fires in Canada are below historical norms, have nothing to do with global warming and provide no signal with regards to global warming prospects.
According to the AGW Bible, the IPCC report.
The data is right there and very clear. Yet everyone of those major media networks will get the story completely wrong. Deliberately wrong?
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