Russian society boils until it reaches a tipping point but no one can ever predict when that will be.

 Several after I wrote the earlier post, I come across a further example.  

Belgrade is full of Russian middle class emigres (17k with a non-permanent resident status). Most of them are IT specialists and their families, but from time to time I see Russians from the social sciences (гуманитарий). I happen to hear parts of their conversations sometimes.

— Aleksandar Djokic (Александар Джокич) (@polidemitolog) October 15, 2022

In particular, in the thread, these elements:

Sometimes it may seem that Russians outside of Russia act like tourists, but they're worried and scared in general. Usually they're not living care free, although they give themselves a break from time to time.

Now, the thing that bothers me is that they never think about what they can do, it's always an atmosphere of waiting for some critical moment to appear out of nowhere and Putin dissappears. It always seems that nothing is happening in Russian society until that spark appears. 

Of course, this typically Russian atmosphere frustrates me, but I understand that that's how Russian society works. It's boiling from the inside at the moment. The processes of war and mobilization are by themselves moving Russian society to the tipping point.

On the other hand, no one can tell when exactly will the waiting end and action begin. If the current factors remain unchanged or don't change significantly, the waiting will inevitably end. It's also possible that the Ukrainian army will outrun Russian society.

It would be nice to have more context and to know whether Djokic, if he exist, is a reliable narrator and can be trusted.  But we don't get that kind of information anymore.  But this is an interesting thread to at least reflect on.