A result I think about often: People (whether founders or pundits) who correctly predicts a big hit or extreme event that no one else did are usually THE WORST at predictions. Rather then being insightful, they tend to be bad data analysts who got lucky! https://t.co/5kvoZ0up3L pic.twitter.com/kUfyzn8bw6
— Ethan Mollick (@emollick) July 22, 2021
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