Bad forecasting gently corrected

Just part of the good-natured epistemic updating of priors and knowledge improvement process with which we are so familiar on Twitter.

OK, I marked that day and nothing happened. Not a thing. You must feel really stupid right about now. I haven’t noticed that you’ve come back and said gosh I was super stupid and now I know better and I’m wondering if you realize you were super stupid and if you now know better? https://t.co/yKN8uerrrf

— Kurt Schlichter (@KurtSchlichter) May 13, 2020