Monday, February 3, 2025

History

 

Republican voters prioritize a smaller number of issues and care about them more than do Democratic voters.

From The New York Times, Many Americans Say the Democratic Party Does Not Share Their Priorities  The subheading is A poll from The New York Times and Ipsos found that Americans believe abortion, L.G.B.T.Q. issues and climate change concern Democrats more than the cost of living.

I have been saying this for the past three Democratic administrations.  You look at the chosen policy and legislative priorities and then you look at Gallup's Most Important Problems survey and there is almost always a gulf between what the public wants addressed (usually the economy and security) and what the Party priorities are, usually the normalization of some marginal group or social practice.  Venn diagrams with no intersection.

From the Times:

Many Americans say they do not believe the Democratic Party is focused on the economic issues that matter most to them and is instead placing too much emphasis on social issues that they consider less urgent.

Asked to identify the Democratic Party’s most important priorities, Americans most often listed abortion, L.G.B.T.Q. rights and climate change, according to a poll from The New York Times and Ipsos conducted from Jan. 2 to 10.

The issues that people cited as most important to them personally were the economy and inflation, health care and immigration, the poll found. The kinds of social causes that progressive activists have championed in recent years ranked much lower.

And given the results of the DNC election this weekend in Washington, D.C., it appears that the Party still has no interest in focusing on the priorities of the electorate.  

In a broad sense, the poll, which surveyed a representative sample of 2,128 adults nationwide, found that Americans think the Republican Party is more in sync with the mood of the country. The issues that people said mattered most to Republicans were also, for the most part, the issues that mattered to them: immigration, the economy, inflation and taxes.











The reporters mention another gap - that between Democratic voters and the Party.  Those surveyed said that the top five Democratic Party perceived priorities were:  Abortion, LGBT, Climate Change, the State of Democracy, and Health care.

There is this cryptic paragraph about those responding to the survey who identify as Democrats:

Even self-identified Democrats were only somewhat more likely than other Americans to mention abortion and L.G.B.T.Q. issues as important to them personally. Democrats did not rank either among their top five concerns.

So Democrats in the survey did not identify Abortion and LGBT as among their top five concerns.  If they don't share the top two priorities, it makes you wonder whether Democrat voters even identify Climate Change, Democracy, and Health Care as among their top five.  Seems a strange omission from the reporters.  

Fortunately there is a link to the survey.  Going to the source, we can answer the question raised but not explored by the reporters.  In contrast to what people see as the parties top priorities, what are the top priorities of Democratic voters?

They are:

The economy/inflation (36%)

Health care (36%)

Climate Change (25%)

State of Democracy (21%)

Housing (17%)

The Democratic party does address three of the top five Democratic voter priorities (Health care, Climate Change, and State of Democracy).  Interestingly, two of those three (Climate Change and State of Democracy) are abstract, conceptual and ideological in contrast to the three concrete issues (the Economy/inflation, Health care, and Housing).  

The Democratic Party prioritizes only one concrete Democratic voter goal, Health Care.  

Even within the Party the gap between Party policy and Democratic voter priorities seems large.

How well does the Republican Party perceived priorities (Immigration, Economy, Taxes, Guns, and Abortion), all very concrete, match against the priorities of Republican voters?  Republican voter priorities:

The economy/inflation (61%)

Immigration (43%)

Health Care (24%)

Taxes (24%)

Crime (23%)

All five voter objectives are concrete and the Republican Party priorities address three of them (Economic/inflation, Immigration, and Taxes.)  Only 11% of Republican voters mention Abortion as a top priority and only 10% prioritize Guns.  However, there is a bit of an issue given an overlap on Guns and Crime.  

It is worthwhile to contemplate the numbers on page 9 of the report.  A lot more nuance than the heavy handed reporting.  

One thing unremarked upon is that the Democratic voter priorities are much less focused than are Republican voter priorities and much more diffuse (conceptual/ideological goals as opposed to concrete issues).

Republicans have eight top (greater than 10%) priorities:

The economy/inflation (61%)

Immigration (43%)

Health Care (24%)

Taxes (24%)

Crime (23%)

Corruption (15%) 
 
Abortion (11%)

Guns (10%)


In contrast, Democrat voters have thirteen top (greater than 10%) priorities.  A consequence of that greater range is the intensity of prioritization is necessarily less.  Republican voters prioritize a smaller number of issues and care about them more than do Democratic voters.

The thirteen Democratic voter priorities:

The economy/inflation (36%)

Health care (36%)

Climate Change (25%)

State of Democracy (21%)

Housing (17%)

Taxes (16%)

Abortion (16%)

Guns (14%)

Immigration (13%)

Education (13%)

Polarization (13%)

Racism (12%)

Crime (12%)








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Waiting for the Light, 2001 by Jay Spyker (America)

Waiting for the Light, 2001 by Jay Spyker (America)




















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Sunday, February 2, 2025

History

 

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Song for Margaret, 1973 by Carl Rice Embrey

Song for Margaret, 1973 by Carl Rice Embrey (America, 1938-2022)

















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Saturday, February 1, 2025

History

 

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The First Awakening of Eve by Valentine Cameron Prinsep

The First Awakening of Eve by Valentine Cameron Prinsep (British, 1838-1904)





















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Friday, January 31, 2025

History

 

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An Insight

 

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Silent Night Skate, 2017 by Leonard Koscianski

Silent Night Skate, 2017 by Leonard Koscianski, (America, 1952 - )
































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Thursday, January 30, 2025

History

 

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Keep the Home Fires Burning by Gary Bunt

Keep the Home Fires Burning by Gary Bunt (England, 1957 - )




















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Wednesday, January 29, 2025

Rat-Catching at the 'Blue Anchor' Tavern

Heh.  I like the illustration that accompanies Unleashing the Deep State Rat Catchers by John Kass.  

Rat-Catching at the 'Blue Anchor' Tavern, Bunhill Row, Finsbury, London, unknown artist.




















Click to enlarge.

You can guess the drift of the article but his set up:

We don’t hunt rats for sport these days, though we should, because all dogs need a job. Back in London in the 1850s, the people weren’t sentimental as we are in America. Then, London was bursting at the seams. The United Kingdom was enjoying economic prosperity during the Victorian Age. They bred fine carriage horses and fine dogs. And they hated rats that spread disease and death. And I also hate them. Not dislike, but actually hate.

He is not awfully fond of the Washington, D.C. Deep State rats either.

History

 

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Sunday Service by Gary Bunt

Sunday Service by Gary Bunt (England, 1957 - )





















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Tuesday, January 28, 2025

History

 

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Offbeat Humor

 

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Winter in Aizu (series) by Saito Kiyoshi

Winter in Aizu (series) by Saito Kiyoshi (Japan, 1907-1997)



















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Monday, January 27, 2025

History

 

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Offbeat Humor

 

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Ponies in the Snow, C.F. Tunnicliffe

Ponies in the Snow, C.F. Tunnicliffe (England, 1901-1979)

























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Sunday, January 26, 2025

History

 

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Engetsu Island, Shirahama, 1951 by Kawase Hasui

Engetsu Island, Shirahama, 1951 by Kawase Hasui (Japan, 1883-1957)

















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Winter Landscape, 1927 by Valerius de Saedeleer

Winter Landscape, 1927 by Valerius de Saedeleer (Belgian, 1867–1941)























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Saturday, January 25, 2025

History

 

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I see wonderful things

 

Offbeat Humor

 

Data Talks

 

Chorus of angels by Gustav Klimt

Chorus of angels by Gustav Klimt from Beethoven Frieze, Secession Building, Vienna.  (Austria, 1862-1918)































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Nancy Astor, 1908 by John Singer Sargent

Nancy Astor, 1908 by John Singer Sargent (America, 1856–1925)





























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Friday, January 24, 2025

Wang Peng, Famous Sociologist

Wang Peng, Famous Sociologist
by Paul Eldridge

Wang Peng, Famous Sociologist
Suggests to the Emperor the
Only possible means of Im-
Proving the People of The Empire

Having read the inscriptions
Upon the tombstones
Of the Great and the Little Cemeteries, 

Wang Peng advised the Emperor
To kill all the living
And resurrect the dead.

History

 

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 I love the community notes feature.

On The Hunt, 2024 by Jef Bourgeau

On The Hunt, 2024 by Jef Bourgeau

























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Thursday, January 23, 2025

History

 

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I see wonderful things

 

Offbeat Humor

 

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Foggy Town by Marie Muravski

Foggy Town by Marie Muravski






























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Wednesday, January 22, 2025

History

 

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I see wonderful things

 

Offbeat Humor

 

Data Talks

 

Absence by C.H. Sisson

Absence
by C.H. Sisson

Go back, or forward, to a time
When I am not here. What remains?
What is here is what I see,
For I trust visibility,
Find that I get wet when it rains
And think that sense and reason chime.

No sense, no reason. For the past,
The living stand in for the dead
And try to see what others saw,
Though disappearance is the law
For what is seen, and what is said,
Though cast in bronze, can never last.

And so one can imagine sand
Carried back by receding tides,
And yet not understand a word
The ocean said when it was heard.
The present never co-incides
With any past that comes to hand.

Go forward. I am here no more:
No word of mine can extricate
The listener from the cord that binds
Him in the twist of other minds.
Unheard before, and now too late,
My words have lost the flesh they wore.

I am not even silence, as
The rows on rows of marshalled dead
Who left no word they did not speak.
An echo that is faint and weak
Remembers me for what I said,
Happy to lose the man I was.

Snowbound by Jo Grundy

Snowbound by Jo Grundy 

























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Tuesday, January 21, 2025

History

 

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Offbeat Humor

 

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Cathedral in Winter, 1821, by Ernst Ferdinand Oehme

Cathedral in Winter, 1821, by Ernst Ferdinand Oehme (Germany, 1797-1855)



























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Monday, January 20, 2025

Delphic Maxims

From The Delphic Maxims.  

The Delphic maxims are a set of moral precepts that were inscribed on the Temple of Apollo in the ancient Greek precinct of Delphi. The three best known maxims – "Know thyself", "Nothing in excess", and "Give a pledge and trouble is at hand" – were prominently located at the entrance to the temple, and were traditionally said to have been authored by the legendary Seven Sages of Greece, or even by Apollo. In fact, they are more likely to have simply been popular proverbs. Each maxim has a long history of interpretation, although the third of the set has received comparatively little attention.

A further 147 maxims, documented by Stobaeus in the 5th century AD, were also located somewhere in the vicinity of the temple. The antiquity and authenticity of these maxims was once in doubt, but recent archaeological discoveries have confirmed that some of the sayings quoted by Stobaeus were current as early as the 3rd century BC.

(1) Follow God,
(2) Obey the law,
(3) Honor the gods,
(4) Honor your parents,
(5) Yield to what is just,
(6) Know by learning,
(7) Understand by listening,
(8) Know yourself,
(9) Desire to marry,
(10) Recognize opportuny,
(11) Think mortal thoughts,
(12) Know when you are a guest,
(13) Honor Hestia (or ‘the hearth’),
(14) Rule yourself,
(15) Help your friends,
(16) Control your temper,
(17) Exercise good sense,
(18) Honor providence (or ‘forethought’),
(19) Do not make an oath,
(20) Love friendship,
(21) Hold on to education,
(22) Pursue glory,
(23) Strive for wisdom,
(24) Speak well of the noble,
(25) Do not defame anyone,
(26) Praise virtue,
(27) Do what is just,
(28) Be gracious to your friends,
(29) Ward off your enemies,
(30) Practise nobility,
(31) Shun evilness,
(32) Be impartial,
(33) Protect what is yours,
(34) Keep away from what is others’,
(35) Listen to everything,
(36) Be auspicious in speech,
(37) Be pleasant to your dear ones,
(38) Nothing too much,
(39) Save time,
(40) Look to the future,
(41) Hate violence,
(42) Honor suppliants,
(43) Fit in with everyone,
(44) Educate your sons,
(45) When you have, be generous,
(46) Fear deceit,
(47) Speak well of everyone,
(48) Be striving for wisdom,
(49) Choose what is holy,
(50) Act with knowledge,
(51) Shun murder,
(52) Pray for what is possible,
(53) Consult the wise,
(54) Examine your character,
(55) Give back when you have received,
(56) Do not look down on anyone,
(57) Act with skill,
(58) Give what you mean to,
(59) Honor generosity,
(60) Do not envy anyone,
(61) Keep up your guard,
(62) Approve of hope,
(63) Hate slander,
(64) Aquire justly,
(65) Honor good people,
(66) Know the judge,
(67) Control your marriages,
(68) Recognize Fortune,
(69) Avoid a pledge,
(70) Speak plainly,
(71) Have dealings with those like you,
(72) Control your expenses,
(73) Be happy with what you have,
(74) Have a sense of shame,
(75) Repay a favor,
(76) Pray for good fortune,
(77) Be content with Fortune,
(78) Observe and listen,
(79) Work for gain,
(80) Hate quarrel,
(81) Detest disgrace,
(82) Control your speech,
(83) Shun violence,
(84) Choose what is just,
(85) Make use of your possessions,
(86) Judge unswayed by bribes,
(87) Accuse the present,
(88) Speak with understanding,
(89) Have nothing to do with violence,
(90) Live without sorrow,
(91) Deal kindly,
(92) Reach the end without hesitation,
(93) Be courteous to everyone,
(94) Do not curse your sons,
(95) Control your wife,
(96) Treat yourself well,
(97) Be easy to speak to,
(98) Answer promptly,
(99) Labor with glory,
(100) Act without regret,
(101) Repent of your transgressions,
(102) Control your eye,
(103) Give counsel in time,
(104) Act at once,
(105) Protect friendship,
(106) Be grateful,
(107) Purse agreement,
(108) Hide what is secret,
(109) Fear what is powerful,
(110) Pursue what is useful,
(111) Await the right moment,
(112) Dissolve enmities,
(113) Accept old age,
(114) Do not boast about strength,
(115) Practice auspicious speech,
(116) Avoid enmity,
(117) Acquire wealth justly,
(118) Do not forsake good repute,
(119) Despise evilness,
(120) Take risks with caution,
(121) Do not grow weary of learning,
(122) Do not cease being frugal,
(123) Hold oracles in awe,
(124) Love those you raise,
(125) Do not fight the absent.
(126) Honor your elder,
(127) Teach the young,
(128) Do not trust your wealth,
(129) Respect yourself,
(130) Do not begin violence,
(131) Honor your ancestors,
(132) Die for your home,
(133) Do not despair of life,
(134) Do not mock the dead,
(135) Do not be troubled with the unlucky,
(136) Court favor without harm,
(137) Do not be distressed over everything,
(138) Have children with the wellborn,
(139) Do not make a promise to anyone,
(140) Do not wrong the dead,
(141) (Be content) to do well as a mortal,
(142) Do not trust your Fortune,
(143) As a child, be well-behaved, 
(144) As a youth, be in control of yourself, 
(145) In middle age, be just, 
(146) As an elder, be reasonable, 
(147) When you are dying, do not lament!

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Brick House Kitchen, ca. 1932 by Tirzah Garwood

Brick House Kitchen, ca. 1932 by Tirzah Garwood (England, 1908-1951)




















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Sunday, January 19, 2025

History

 

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Snowstorm in a Pennine Valley by Stanley Roy Badmin

Snowstorm in a Pennine Valley by Stanley Roy Badmin (England, 1906-1989)    






























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Saturday, January 18, 2025

History

 

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Policy without empirical rationalism or public discussion leads to dealy outcomes

On May 1, 2020 I posted Look both ways and hold onto to your wallet.  Atlanta City Council, in the midst of Covid lock downs and without debate or public discussion, passed an ordinance lowering speed limits from 30 to 25 MPH per the Vision Zero fad out of Sweden.

There was much to criticize about the process.  And I did.  

Among the issues was whether the legislation would indeed reduce the death rate from 73 (in 2019) to zero.  In the original post, I pointed out that only perhaps 25 deaths of the 73 occurred in areas with speed limits of 30.  The reduction in speed limits would not get the city close to Vision Zero and there were good reasons, based on the experience of other cities to anticipate there would be no reduction in deaths.  And some cities had experienced an increase of deaths under Vision Zero policies.

Rereading that post today, approaching five years later, made me wonder what had been the outcome.  How many people die in traffic accidents in the City of Atlanta in 2024?  Even taking into account that the size of the city's population is estimated to have risen about 5% since 2019. 

The City Council increased the cost of traffic in Atlanta and increased the time it takes to get anywhere.  What has been the benefit of that legislation?  How much was the death rate reduced from 73?

From Atlanta is the worst U.S. city for driving in 2024 by Josh Green.  From this study, it appears that there were 90 traffic deaths in Atlanta in 2024.  Up nearly 25% from 2019.  The per capita death rate is the third worst on the list.  

City Council spends a lot of money marking down speed limits, makes transportation in the City more expensive and slower and still sees a 20-25% increase in deaths.  

An outcome fully anticipated in that original post.  

Marine Solitude (1852), by Anton Melbye

Marine Solitude (1852), by Anton Melbye (Denmark, 1818-1875)

















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Friday, January 17, 2025

History

 

An Insight

 

I see wonderful things