Philip Tetlock's results in the early 2000s were the most important in the history of political science: on average, subject-matter experts didn't beat random guessing—and did worse than simple heuristics.
— Werner Zagrebbi🇦🇿 (@zagrebbi) April 16, 2026
If this isn't part of your worldview, you're ngmi pic.twitter.com/KGCA7PVriO
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