Data Talks

I looked at 325 psychology study replication results today, and the best simple rule I found for telling if a study would replicate is this:

When the original study's p-value was at most 0.01, about 72% of the papers replicated.

Whereas when p>0.01, only 48% replicated.

— Spencer Greenberg 🔍 (@SpencrGreenberg) December 17, 2022