Tuesday, May 3, 2022

Who are you going to believe, your logically empirical brain or the seductive coincident pattern?

In complex dynamic, evolving, multivariate, non-linear, interdependent, loosely coupled autonomous chaotic systems, there will always be surprising correlations and juxtapositions.  

Yesterday evening someone, in a close to historical first, leaked a draft of the Supreme Court decision regarding one of the most contentious court decisions of the past two generations, Roe v. Wade.  

Today, not even Ukraine is getting a looking in under the deluge of editorials, opinions and tweeting.  It is all Roe.

In the midst of the sturm and drang, I see:
Really?  I took it for a bit of satirical humor.  I know there is supposed to be a data release but that's still a month off or so.  Right?

Well apparently not.  Not satire and not a data dump a month off.  Today.  Too early to tell much of a synopsis of a 80,000 pages of information but it does seem, based on first reactions to be a doozy.

I can't believe that the data indeed says what initial reviewers are saying it says (only a 1% absolute risk reduction rate?).  We'll see.  But potentially very bad indeed.
I cannot believe that the Supreme Court Roe decision was leaked in order to distract from the Pfizer data dump.  And even though I do believe that complex dynamic, evolving, multivariate, non-linear, interdependent, loosely coupled, autonomous, chaotic systems will always generate surprising correlations and juxtapositions, it is hard not to see a pattern here that I know should not be here.  

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